Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Abols on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Abols shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Abols 51.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abols 63.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 57.7%
Neutral zone
Henrique 53.3%
Result
Rodrigo Abols favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Henrique
Abols
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Henrique
Abols
Last 5: Henrique 2-3 Abols
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Abols
0
3
Henrique
Abols
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Abols
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Abols
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Abols
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
52.2% (293)
+3.2%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
50.0% (6)
+0.7%
On even strength, Henrique has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Abols shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Abols is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Henrique
Abols
Home
52.4% (227)
54.7% (150)
Away
55.2% (324)
49.7% (153)
By Period
Henrique
Abols
P1
57.0%
54.4%
P2
52.5%
46.3%
P3
52.4%
56.2%
Final 5 min
47.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:47 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |