Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.2%). Look for Colton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Colton 51.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Colton leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 50.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 50.3%
Neutral zone
Henrique 50.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Henrique
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Henrique
Colton
Last 10: Henrique 2-8 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
3
Henrique
Colton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
2
4
Henrique
Colton
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
3
Henrique
Colton
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,546)
51.6% (1,803)
-0.9%
Power Play
54.5% (1,763)
48.8% (162)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,832)
34.5% (29)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,525).
Henrique shoots left. Colton is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,297).
Home / Away
Henrique
Colton
Home
52.5% (6,430)
52.0% (1,015)
Away
48.8% (6,734)
50.3% (979)
By Period
Henrique
Colton
P1
50.6%
53.7%
P2
51.4%
52.6%
P3
50.3%
47.9%
OT
40.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
50.6%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 01:41 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 2, 2023 | OT | 02:54 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Ross Colton |