Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Hartman 45.6% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 71.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 67.2%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Henrique
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Henrique
Hartman
Last 6: Henrique 3-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Henrique
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Henrique
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
45.1% (874)
+10.3%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
47.4% (95)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
37.5% (16)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hartman
Home
52.4% (227)
45.0% (515)
Away
55.2% (324)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Henrique
Hartman
P1
57.0%
47.3%
P2
52.5%
40.1%
P3
52.4%
48.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 07:16 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |