Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Poehling 48.0% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 55.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 52.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 57.6%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Henrique
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Henrique
Poehling
Last 6: Henrique 3-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
3
Henrique
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
50.4% (680)
+5.0%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
58.3% (12)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
38.8% (219)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Henrique
Poehling
Home
52.4% (227)
47.4% (422)
Away
55.2% (324)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Henrique
Poehling
P1
57.0%
53.3%
P2
52.5%
40.3%
P3
52.4%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 01:30 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |