Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.9%). Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Couturier 53.6% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 57.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 50.5%
Neutral zone
Couturier 51.0%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Henrique
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Henrique
Couturier
Last 9: Henrique 5-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Henrique
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
1
Henrique
Couturier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Henrique
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
53.9% (792)
+1.5%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
62.9% (70)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
51.3% (234)
-0.6%
On power play, Couturier has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Henrique
Couturier
Home
52.4% (227)
51.4% (541)
Away
55.2% (324)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Henrique
Couturier
P1
57.0%
56.0%
P2
52.5%
52.6%
P3
52.4%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
47.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 19:59 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 02:18 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |