Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 54.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 51.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 51.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Henrique
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Henrique
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
52.6% (464)
+2.8%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
46.5% (155)
+4.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Henrique
Kuraly
Home
52.4% (227)
55.9% (322)
Away
55.2% (324)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Henrique
Kuraly
P1
57.0%
55.9%
P2
52.5%
46.7%
P3
52.4%
50.7%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:57 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |