Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Monahan 52.5% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 64.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 78.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 55.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Henrique
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Henrique
Monahan
Last 5: Henrique 4-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
53.0% (874)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
54.7% (161)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
47.5% (101)
+3.2%
On power play, Monahan has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Henrique
Monahan
Home
52.4% (227)
53.8% (558)
Away
55.2% (324)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Henrique
Monahan
P1
57.0%
49.5%
P2
52.5%
54.8%
P3
52.4%
52.8%
OT
100.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |