Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.2%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 30 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Monahan 51.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 48-46 in 94 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 65.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 61.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 51.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Henrique
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
48
-
46
(94 meetings)
48
46
Henrique
Monahan
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
11
19
Henrique
Monahan
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
20
14
Henrique
Monahan
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
17
13
Henrique
Monahan
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,546)
51.1% (11,407)
-0.4%
Power Play
54.5% (1,763)
53.6% (2,582)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,832)
45.9% (772)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,525).
Henrique shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Henrique
Monahan
Home
52.5% (6,430)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
48.8% (6,734)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Henrique
Monahan
P1
50.6%
51.0%
P2
51.4%
51.7%
P3
50.3%
51.0%
OT
40.6%
53.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
50.6%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 11:31 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |