Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Wright 41.4% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 63.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 86.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 70.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Henrique
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Henrique
Wright
Last 9: Henrique 5-4 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
2
Henrique
Wright
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Wright
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
1
Henrique
Wright
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
39.7% (461)
+15.7%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
41.0% (61)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
0.0% (1)
+50.7%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Henrique
Wright
Home
52.4% (227)
39.5% (286)
Away
55.2% (324)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Henrique
Wright
P1
57.0%
40.2%
P2
52.5%
36.7%
P3
52.4%
42.9%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |