Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Crosby 55.1% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 82.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 56.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Henrique
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Henrique
Crosby
Last 8: Henrique 3-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Henrique
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
53.3% (1,025)
+2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
64.7% (249)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
60.0% (15)
-9.3%
On power play, Crosby has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Henrique
Crosby
Home
52.4% (227)
56.9% (675)
Away
55.2% (324)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Henrique
Crosby
P1
57.0%
55.1%
P2
52.5%
53.1%
P3
52.4%
58.5%
OT
100.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
47.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:36 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:51 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |