Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 86.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 76.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 57.3%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Henrique
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Henrique
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
57.1% (368)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
55.2% (96)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
50.0% (10)
+0.7%
On power play, Stamkos has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Henrique
Stamkos
Home
52.4% (227)
53.9% (230)
Away
55.2% (324)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Henrique
Stamkos
P1
57.0%
56.7%
P2
52.5%
54.1%
P3
52.4%
59.2%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |