Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.9% vs Thompson 46.5% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 66.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 93.7%
Neutral zone
Henrique 82.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Henrique
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Henrique
Thompson
Last 5: Henrique 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Henrique
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (314)
46.1% (484)
+9.3%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
48.4% (91)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (96)
30.0% (20)
+24.2%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Henrique shoots left. Thompson is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Henrique
Thompson
Home
53.2% (173)
47.9% (313)
Away
55.9% (256)
43.6% (282)
By Period
Henrique
Thompson
P1
58.9%
50.5%
P2
54.9%
44.6%
P3
50.0%
42.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
54.8%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |