Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Ostapchuk 50.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 58.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 51.9%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 54.3%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Henrique
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Henrique
Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Henrique
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
52.5% (320)
+2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
42.4% (59)
+8.3%
On power play, Henrique has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Ostapchuk is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Henrique
Ostapchuk
Home
52.4% (227)
49.1% (171)
Away
55.2% (324)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Henrique
Ostapchuk
P1
57.0%
50.4%
P2
52.5%
46.8%
P3
52.4%
55.1%
Final 5 min
47.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |