Adam Henrique vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Girgensons 46.8% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 63.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 77.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 67.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Henrique
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Henrique
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
45.1% (164)
+10.3%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
45.2% (31)
+5.5%
On even strength, Henrique has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Girgensons is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Henrique
Girgensons
Home
52.4% (227)
44.6% (92)
Away
55.2% (324)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Henrique
Girgensons
P1
57.0%
44.2%
P2
52.5%
46.0%
P3
52.4%
45.1%
Final 5 min
47.8%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |