Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.3%). Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Galchenyuk 51.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 52.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 81.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 66.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Lowry
Galchenyuk
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Galchenyuk
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Galchenyuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Galchenyuk
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Galchenyuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Galchenyuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Galchenyuk
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
51.9% (393)
+3.9%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
60.0% (15)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
100.0% (1)
-57.7%
On penalty kill, Galchenyuk has a +57.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Galchenyuk shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Galchenyuk is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Lowry
Galchenyuk
Home
53.4% (515)
48.9% (219)
Away
52.6% (549)
56.3% (190)
By Period
Lowry
Galchenyuk
P1
54.2%
48.8%
P2
54.4%
53.4%
P3
50.8%
54.9%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
59.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
53.0%
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:46 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |