Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Laferriere on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Laferriere 42.5% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laferriere 79.6%
Defensive zone
Laferriere 53.5%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 72.3%
Result
Alex Laferriere favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Lowry
Laferriere
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lowry
Laferriere
Last 7: Lowry 2-5 Laferriere
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laferriere
1
3
Lowry
Laferriere
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laferriere
0
1
Lowry
Laferriere
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Laferriere
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Laferriere
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
41.5% (427)
+11.4%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
50.0% (20)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
36.4% (77)
+8.4%
On even strength, Lowry has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laferriere shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Laferriere is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Lowry
Laferriere
Home
53.5% (5,920)
40.2% (249)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
41.8% (275)
By Period
Lowry
Laferriere
P1
51.6%
35.8%
P2
51.7%
39.1%
P3
51.5%
45.6%
OT
46.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Laferriere
38.0%▼
40.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 07:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Alex Laferriere |