Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tuch on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Tuch 41.5% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 87.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.6%
Neutral zone
Tuch 64.1%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Lowry
Tuch
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lowry
Tuch
Last 6: Lowry 2-4 Tuch
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
0
4
Lowry
Tuch
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Tuch
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Tuch
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
38.7% (481)
+14.2%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
43.1% (204)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
43.2% (111)
+1.6%
On even strength, Lowry has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tuch shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Home / Away
Lowry
Tuch
Home
53.5% (5,920)
42.1% (394)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
38.8% (402)
By Period
Lowry
Tuch
P1
51.6%
44.7%
P2
51.7%
40.6%
P3
51.5%
36.0%
OT
46.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |