Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Watson 46.0% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 71.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 92.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 84.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Lowry
Watson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Watson
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Watson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Watson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Watson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Watson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Watson
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
46.2% (182)
+6.7%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
33.3% (6)
+23.9%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
38.3% (47)
+6.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Watson shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Watson is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Lowry
Watson
Home
53.5% (5,920)
44.2% (113)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
44.3% (122)
By Period
Lowry
Watson
P1
51.6%
40.5%
P2
51.7%
46.2%
P3
51.5%
46.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Watson
38.0%▼
44.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Austin Watson |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Austin Watson |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |