Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.9%). Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Smith 51.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 57.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 58.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 53.6%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Lowry
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lowry
Smith
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Lowry
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Lowry
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
53.7% (1,269)
-0.8%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
55.6% (27)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
45.5% (369)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Lowry
Smith
Home
53.5% (5,920)
53.8% (860)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
49.8% (805)
By Period
Lowry
Smith
P1
51.6%
52.1%
P2
51.7%
50.2%
P3
51.5%
53.3%
OT
46.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2015 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 1 | 10:46 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 15:26 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 00:57 | Neutral | Ben Smith |