Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Groulx 44.1% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Groulx leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 57.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Lowry
Groulx
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Lowry
Groulx
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Groulx
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
3
Lowry
Groulx
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Groulx
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Groulx
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Groulx
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
44.8% (393)
+8.1%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
44.4% (9)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
35.1% (94)
+9.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Groulx shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Groulx is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Lowry
Groulx
Home
53.5% (5,920)
50.0% (244)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
36.1% (252)
By Period
Lowry
Groulx
P1
51.6%
45.1%
P2
51.7%
43.9%
P3
51.5%
40.4%
OT
46.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:11 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |