Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 67 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Horvat 54.4% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 97-88 in 185 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 61.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Lowry
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
88
-
97
(185 meetings)
88
97
Lowry
Horvat
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
21
46
Lowry
Horvat
67 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
32
27
Lowry
Horvat
59 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
35
24
Lowry
Horvat
59 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
53.9% (12,655)
-1.0%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
61.1% (2,712)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
47.2% (1,500)
-2.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Home / Away
Lowry
Horvat
Home
53.5% (5,920)
56.1% (8,423)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
52.9% (8,445)
By Period
Lowry
Horvat
P1
51.6%
54.1%
P2
51.7%
54.5%
P3
51.5%
55.0%
OT
46.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 05:37 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 14:35 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |