Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Jenner 53.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 24-17 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 53.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 60.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Lowry
Jenner
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
24
(41 meetings)
17
24
Lowry
Jenner
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Jenner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
5
17
Lowry
Jenner
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
Jenner
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
7
6
Lowry
Jenner
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
54.5% (6,228)
-1.6%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
55.8% (1,148)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
48.4% (1,001)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,209).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jenner
Home
53.5% (5,920)
54.5% (4,073)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
53.4% (4,304)
By Period
Lowry
Jenner
P1
51.6%
53.6%
P2
51.7%
53.6%
P3
51.5%
54.5%
OT
46.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:45 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 07:00 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 15:30 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 10:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |