Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.6%). Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Schenn 53.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 71.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 51.6%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Lowry
Schenn
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Lowry
Schenn
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Schenn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Schenn
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Schenn
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Schenn
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Schenn
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
51.5% (656)
+4.2%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
63.6% (107)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
66.7% (24)
-27.7%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schenn shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Schenn is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Lowry
Schenn
Home
54.3% (429)
53.9% (412)
Away
53.5% (385)
53.3% (375)
By Period
Lowry
Schenn
P1
53.1%
49.6%
P2
55.2%
52.0%
P3
54.4%
58.1%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |