Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Kelly 50.1% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Kelly 53.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 59.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Lowry
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
51.1% (3,010)
+1.8%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
60.6% (71)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
44.7% (689)
+0.1%
On power play, Kelly has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Home / Away
Lowry
Kelly
Home
53.5% (5,920)
52.6% (1,965)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
47.4% (1,813)
By Period
Lowry
Kelly
P1
51.6%
49.2%
P2
51.7%
49.1%
P3
51.5%
51.9%
OT
46.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%