Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Dvorak 53.1% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 18-11 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 53.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 77.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Lowry
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
18
(29 meetings)
11
18
Lowry
Dvorak
Last 10: Lowry 2-8 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
8
Lowry
Dvorak
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
2
Lowry
Dvorak
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
8
Lowry
Dvorak
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
53.1% (6,785)
-0.2%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
55.7% (1,012)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
50.8% (889)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Dvorak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,588).
Home / Away
Lowry
Dvorak
Home
53.5% (5,920)
54.7% (4,151)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
51.7% (4,535)
By Period
Lowry
Dvorak
P1
51.6%
54.5%
P2
51.7%
51.9%
P3
51.5%
53.1%
OT
46.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:40 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 3 | 17:59 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 16:54 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2017 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |