Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Giroux 61.3% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 55.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 65.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 69.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Lowry
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lowry
Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Giroux
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Lowry
Giroux
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
61.0% (420)
-5.3%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
66.4% (113)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
65.6% (163)
-26.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Lowry
Giroux
Home
54.3% (429)
66.6% (350)
Away
53.5% (385)
59.2% (346)
By Period
Lowry
Giroux
P1
53.1%
62.1%
P2
55.2%
64.7%
P3
54.4%
61.6%
OT
40.0%
69.2%
Final 5 min
57.1%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2025 | OT | 00:53 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |