Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Wilson 46.4% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 76.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 91.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 66.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Lowry
Wilson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lowry
Wilson
Last 7: Lowry 4-3 Wilson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
0
1
Lowry
Wilson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Wilson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Wilson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
45.0% (845)
+7.9%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
50.4% (244)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
33.3% (6)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Wilson is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Lowry
Wilson
Home
53.5% (5,920)
46.1% (531)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
46.1% (564)
By Period
Lowry
Wilson
P1
51.6%
46.6%
P2
51.7%
43.2%
P3
51.5%
48.8%
OT
46.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 02:53 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |