Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 50.7%). Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Backes 50.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 24-17 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 71.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 66.5%
Neutral zone
Backes 50.3%
Result
David Backes favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Lowry
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
24
(41 meetings)
17
24
Lowry
Backes
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
6
9
Lowry
Backes
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
4
6
Lowry
Backes
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
7
9
Lowry
Backes
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
51.1% (5,772)
+1.8%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
50.8% (1,082)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
47.4% (930)
-2.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Home / Away
Lowry
Backes
Home
53.5% (5,920)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Lowry
Backes
P1
51.6%
50.1%
P2
51.7%
51.5%
P3
51.5%
50.8%
OT
46.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 09:32 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 19:41 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | David Backes |