Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.7%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Strome 51.7% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 41-36 in 77 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 80.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 56.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Lowry
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
36
(77 meetings)
41
36
Lowry
Strome
Last 10: Lowry 2-8 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
19
Lowry
Strome
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
20
5
Lowry
Strome
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
17
12
Lowry
Strome
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
50.1% (6,371)
+2.8%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
58.6% (1,532)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
45.6% (68)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Strome is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (5,283).
Home / Away
Lowry
Strome
Home
53.5% (5,920)
51.1% (3,968)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
52.3% (4,003)
By Period
Lowry
Strome
P1
51.6%
50.5%
P2
51.7%
52.3%
P3
51.5%
52.3%
OT
46.3%
52.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 12:03 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:32 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:36 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |