Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Lindholm 55.3% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 82.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 58.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 52.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Lowry
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Lowry
Lindholm
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
3
Lowry
Lindholm
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
54.8% (766)
+0.9%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
62.3% (175)
+23.4%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
52.2% (92)
-13.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lindholm
Home
54.3% (429)
56.6% (578)
Away
53.5% (385)
54.9% (455)
By Period
Lowry
Lindholm
P1
53.1%
55.2%
P2
55.2%
56.3%
P3
54.4%
56.3%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:16 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |