Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Pettersson 47.2% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 85.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 51.7%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 66.6%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Lowry
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Lowry
Pettersson
Last 10: Lowry 2-8 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
4
Lowry
Pettersson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Pettersson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
4
Lowry
Pettersson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
45.9% (834)
+9.8%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
55.1% (256)
+30.6%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
35.7% (112)
+3.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Home / Away
Lowry
Pettersson
Home
54.3% (429)
49.1% (607)
Away
53.5% (385)
44.7% (595)
By Period
Lowry
Pettersson
P1
53.1%
45.5%
P2
55.2%
48.0%
P3
54.4%
47.1%
OT
40.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
57.1%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |