Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Malkin 46.1% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 84.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 78.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 55.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 84.2%
15.8%
84.2%
Lowry
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lowry
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Lowry
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
45.7% (219)
+10.0%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
34.6% (26)
+51.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +51.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Lowry
Malkin
Home
54.3% (429)
50.4% (113)
Away
53.5% (385)
39.4% (132)
By Period
Lowry
Malkin
P1
53.1%
47.7%
P2
55.2%
44.9%
P3
54.4%
40.0%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |