Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Svechkov 43.2% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 67.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.9%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Lowry
Svechkov
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lowry
Svechkov
Last 6: Lowry 3-3 Svechkov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Svechkov
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Svechkov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Svechkov
0
1
Lowry
Svechkov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Svechkov
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
41.7% (472)
+14.0%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
33.3% (3)
+52.4%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
50.0% (6)
-11.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Svechkov shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Svechkov is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Lowry
Svechkov
Home
54.3% (429)
39.7% (247)
Away
53.5% (385)
44.0% (234)
By Period
Lowry
Svechkov
P1
53.1%
36.1%
P2
55.2%
44.5%
P3
54.4%
44.1%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:02 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |