Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Svechkov 40.8% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 52.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 88.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 75.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Lowry
Svechkov
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lowry
Svechkov
Last 7: Lowry 4-3 Svechkov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Svechkov
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Svechkov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Svechkov
0
1
Lowry
Svechkov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Svechkov
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
39.7% (790)
+13.2%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
41.2% (17)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
33.3% (9)
+11.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Svechkov shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Svechkov is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Home / Away
Lowry
Svechkov
Home
53.5% (5,920)
38.6% (428)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
41.0% (388)
By Period
Lowry
Svechkov
P1
51.6%
35.7%
P2
51.7%
44.5%
P3
51.5%
39.1%
OT
46.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
39.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:02 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |