Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Barbashev 42.2% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 14-2 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 85.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 98.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 97.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 93.7%
93.7%
6.3%
Lowry
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
2
(16 meetings)
14
2
Lowry
Barbashev
Last 10: Lowry 9-1 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Barbashev
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Barbashev
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
7
1
Lowry
Barbashev
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
42.0% (1,740)
+10.9%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
46.1% (89)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
36.7% (139)
+8.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Barbashev is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Home / Away
Lowry
Barbashev
Home
53.5% (5,920)
42.4% (934)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
41.3% (1,034)
By Period
Lowry
Barbashev
P1
51.6%
40.8%
P2
51.7%
42.3%
P3
51.5%
42.2%
OT
46.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Barbashev
24.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |