Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Compher 51.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 60.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 54.6%
Neutral zone
Compher 58.1%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Lowry
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lowry
Compher
Last 8: Lowry 3-5 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
3
Lowry
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Compher
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
2
Lowry
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
53.1% (784)
+2.6%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
54.8% (31)
+30.9%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
36.8% (95)
+2.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +30.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Lowry
Compher
Home
54.3% (429)
51.3% (452)
Away
53.5% (385)
51.5% (458)
By Period
Lowry
Compher
P1
53.1%
54.9%
P2
55.2%
49.0%
P3
54.4%
50.6%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 15:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |