Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Miller 54.9% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 31-29 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 68.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 58.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Lowry
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
31
(60 meetings)
29
31
Lowry
Miller
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
9
16
Lowry
Miller
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
14
12
Lowry
Miller
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
3
Lowry
Miller
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
55.3% (6,690)
-2.4%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
58.0% (1,289)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
48.4% (919)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Miller is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,938).
Home / Away
Lowry
Miller
Home
53.5% (5,920)
56.0% (4,622)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
53.8% (4,276)
By Period
Lowry
Miller
P1
51.6%
54.8%
P2
51.7%
55.7%
P3
51.5%
54.1%
OT
46.3%
62.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | OT | 01:39 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 15:31 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |