Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs McBain 50.9% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 52.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 81.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 66.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Lowry
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lowry
McBain
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
McBain
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
52.5% (569)
+3.2%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
42.1% (19)
+43.6%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
36.2% (47)
+2.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Lowry
McBain
Home
54.3% (429)
52.4% (309)
Away
53.5% (385)
49.7% (326)
By Period
Lowry
McBain
P1
53.1%
54.0%
P2
55.2%
52.7%
P3
54.4%
46.5%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Jack McBain |