Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Stoll 55.0% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 73.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 75.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Lowry
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
14
(18 meetings)
4
14
Lowry
Stoll
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
3
Lowry
Stoll
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
5
Lowry
Stoll
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
6
Lowry
Stoll
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
56.0% (4,886)
-3.1%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
56.5% (496)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
50.7% (1,087)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Home / Away
Lowry
Stoll
Home
53.5% (5,920)
57.2% (3,285)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
53.0% (3,218)
By Period
Lowry
Stoll
P1
51.6%
54.2%
P2
51.7%
55.8%
P3
51.5%
55.3%
OT
46.3%
52.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2016 | 1 | 17:55 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 3 | 03:05 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |