Adam Lowry vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Pageau 54.8% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 28-24 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Lowry
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
28
(52 meetings)
24
28
Lowry
Pageau
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
10
Lowry
Pageau
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
9
Lowry
Pageau
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
12
9
Lowry
Pageau
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
55.8% (9,525)
-2.9%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
57.0% (1,008)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
49.6% (2,077)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Home / Away
Lowry
Pageau
Home
53.5% (5,920)
56.3% (6,267)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Lowry
Pageau
P1
51.6%
54.7%
P2
51.7%
56.3%
P3
51.5%
53.5%
OT
46.3%
54.4%
Final 5 min
52.8%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |