Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Carter 53.2% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 29-26 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 65.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 55.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Lowry
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
29
(55 meetings)
26
29
Lowry
Carter
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
5
13
Lowry
Carter
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
13
8
Lowry
Carter
21 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Lowry
Carter
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
53.3% (8,728)
-0.4%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
57.3% (1,554)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
46.3% (1,087)
-1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Lowry
Carter
Home
53.5% (5,920)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Lowry
Carter
P1
51.6%
53.6%
P2
51.7%
52.8%
P3
51.5%
53.1%
OT
46.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 1 | 11:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |