Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Skinner 44.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Skinner leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Skinner 95.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 87.2%
Neutral zone
Skinner 53.7%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Lowry
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Lowry
Skinner
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
0
9
Lowry
Skinner
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
7
0
Lowry
Skinner
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
42.3% (1,317)
+10.6%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
52.0% (404)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
33.3% (15)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Home / Away
Lowry
Skinner
Home
53.5% (5,920)
48.2% (949)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
39.9% (791)
By Period
Lowry
Skinner
P1
51.6%
41.6%
P2
51.7%
46.0%
P3
51.5%
46.4%
OT
46.3%
23.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |