Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Eller 53.3% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 54.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 59.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 56.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Lowry
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lowry
Eller
Last 8: Lowry 2-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Lowry
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Lowry
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
53.8% (865)
-1.1%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
57.1% (21)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
52.6% (137)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Lowry
Eller
Home
52.4% (597)
56.4% (486)
Away
48.4% (583)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Lowry
Eller
P1
48.5%
55.1%
P2
52.2%
55.3%
P3
50.5%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
50.4%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:21 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:14 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:59 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |