Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 59.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 90.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 67.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Lowry
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Lowry
Draisaitl
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
7
Lowry
Draisaitl
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Draisaitl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
55.9% (835)
-0.2%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
61.8% (228)
+23.9%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
50.0% (40)
-11.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Lowry
Draisaitl
Home
54.3% (429)
55.1% (508)
Away
53.5% (385)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Lowry
Draisaitl
P1
53.1%
55.8%
P2
55.2%
55.7%
P3
54.4%
59.0%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 18:56 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |