Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Beniers 48.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 72.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 70.6%
Neutral zone
Beniers 51.0%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Lowry
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lowry
Beniers
Last 6: Lowry 3-3 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Beniers
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Beniers
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
2
Lowry
Beniers
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
48.3% (862)
+7.4%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
58.3% (36)
+27.4%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
50.0% (32)
-11.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Beniers is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Lowry
Beniers
Home
54.3% (429)
52.4% (460)
Away
53.5% (385)
45.1% (470)
By Period
Lowry
Beniers
P1
53.1%
47.5%
P2
55.2%
50.6%
P3
54.4%
47.6%
OT
40.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
57.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 18:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:03 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |