Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Domi 48.8% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 30-12 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 52.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 85.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Lowry
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
12
(42 meetings)
30
12
Lowry
Domi
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
4
Lowry
Domi
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
12
4
Lowry
Domi
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
13
4
Lowry
Domi
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
48.1% (4,339)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
53.5% (636)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
48.8% (41)
-4.0%
On even strength, Lowry has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Domi is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,370).
Home / Away
Lowry
Domi
Home
53.5% (5,920)
49.8% (2,614)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
47.8% (2,402)
By Period
Lowry
Domi
P1
51.6%
48.7%
P2
51.7%
48.3%
P3
51.5%
49.7%
OT
46.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 04:39 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 15:21 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:51 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |