Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs McLeod 58.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 75.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 82.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 75.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Lowry
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
15
(19 meetings)
4
15
Lowry
McLeod
Last 10: Lowry 2-8 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
5
Lowry
McLeod
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Lowry
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
7
Lowry
McLeod
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
59.2% (2,894)
-6.3%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
57.4% (101)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
53.5% (525)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
Home / Away
Lowry
McLeod
Home
53.5% (5,920)
58.2% (1,647)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
58.4% (1,873)
By Period
Lowry
McLeod
P1
51.6%
58.7%
P2
51.7%
59.9%
P3
51.5%
56.3%
OT
46.3%
63.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:17 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:49 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:54 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |