Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Granlund 48.6% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 28-20 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 79.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 58.3%
Neutral zone
Granlund 57.2%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Lowry
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
28
(48 meetings)
20
28
Lowry
Granlund
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
6
15
Lowry
Granlund
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
5
Lowry
Granlund
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Lowry
Granlund
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
48.6% (6,765)
+4.3%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
53.0% (760)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
43.6% (635)
+1.2%
On even strength, Lowry has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Granlund is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Home / Away
Lowry
Granlund
Home
53.5% (5,920)
51.0% (3,905)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
46.4% (4,255)
By Period
Lowry
Granlund
P1
51.6%
48.8%
P2
51.7%
48.7%
P3
51.5%
48.5%
OT
46.3%
43.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:00 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |