Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 22-10 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 77.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 99.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 96.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 92.6%
92.6%
7.4%
Lowry
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
10
(32 meetings)
22
10
Lowry
Ribeiro
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
6
Lowry
Ribeiro
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
9
0
Lowry
Ribeiro
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
11
4
Lowry
Ribeiro
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
42.9% (4,887)
+10.0%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
45.6% (930)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
33.3% (147)
+11.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Home / Away
Lowry
Ribeiro
Home
53.5% (5,920)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Lowry
Ribeiro
P1
51.6%
42.6%
P2
51.7%
44.3%
P3
51.5%
41.8%
OT
46.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 01:47 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 05:56 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 11:53 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 07:16 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |