Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Koivu 54.0% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 42-31 in 73 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 57.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 77.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 58.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Lowry
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
42
(73 meetings)
31
42
Lowry
Koivu
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
16
Lowry
Koivu
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
11
12
Lowry
Koivu
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
17
14
Lowry
Koivu
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
54.0% (9,465)
-1.1%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
58.6% (2,100)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
48.9% (1,688)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Lowry
Koivu
Home
53.5% (5,920)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Lowry
Koivu
P1
51.6%
53.5%
P2
51.7%
54.6%
P3
51.5%
54.0%
OT
46.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 16:02 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 09:54 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 00:10 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |